Зул сарын баярын өдөр болох NBA-ийн сонирхолтой тулаануудын өмнөх шинжээчдийн таамаг болон тоглолтын эхлэх магадлалтай үр дүнгүүдийг танилцуулж байна.
Арванхоёрдугаар сарын 25-ны баасан гарагт болох NBA-ийн зул сарын баярын тоглолтууд Нью-Йорк Никс болон Сан Антонио Спөрсийн хоорондох NBA Finals-ийн дахин тоглолтоор эхэлнэ. Энэ өдөр Леброн Жэймс Лос Анжелес хотод эргэн ирж, 76ers-ийн бүрэлдэхүүнд Лука Дончичтой тулалдах бол оройн сүүлийн тоглолтод Стефен Карри болон Никола Йокич нарын өрсөлдөөнөөр баярын хөтөлбөр өндөрлөнө.
Шинжээчид Нью-Йорк Никсийг 1.5 онооны зөрүүгээр хожиж, тоглолтыг өөрийн талд эргүүлнэ гэж таамаглаж байна. Мөн Бостон Сэлтикс 5.5 онооны зөрүүгээр Майами Хитийг буулган авах магадлалтай байгаа бол Филадельфи 76ers-ийг 1.5 онооны зөрүүгээр ялалт байгуулна хэмээн үзэж байна.
Бусад тоглолтуудын хувьд Миннесота Тимбервулвз 3.5 онооны зөрүүгээр Оклахома Сити Тандерыг хожих төлөвтэй байгаа бол Денвер Наггетс 3.5 онооны зөрүүгээр Голдэн Стэйт Уорриорсыг хожихоор байна. Эдгээр таамаг нь тухайн үеийн багуудын бүрэлдэхүүн, тоглолтын хэв маяг болон тоглогчдын ур чадварт үндэслэгдсэн болно.
Дэлгэрэнгүй эх сурвалжийг харах
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You’d better finish opening your presents quickly because the NBA is bringing the heat early on Christmas Day, with the New York Knicks hosting the San Antonio Spurs at Madison Square Garden at noon ET in an NBA Finals rematch.
I had a strong stance on this matchup during the NBA Finals, and it hasn’t changed. Let’s dive into my early NBA picks for a loaded slate on Friday, Dec. 25.
NBA Christmas Day predictions
| Pick | |
|---|---|
| -105 | |
| -110 | |
| -115 | |
| -105 | |
| -110 |
The NBA delivered an incredible Christmas Day slate, starting with an NBA Finals rematch before LeBron James returns to Los Angeles to face Luka Doncic as a 76er.
And while some questioned Golden State’s inclusion, Stephen Curry vs. Nikola Jokic as the nightcap is the perfect way to end Christmas Day.
Spurs vs Knicks (12 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
Spurs vs Knicks opening odds
| -105 | Moneyline | -115 |
| +1.5 (-115) | Spread | -1.5 (-105) |
| Over 228.5 (-115) | Total | Under 228.5 (-105) |
Spurs vs Knicks early pick: Knicks -1.5
em-105 at DraftKings/em
The New York Knicks have the matchup advantage against the San Antonio Spurs, just as they did in the NBA Finals, so I’m backing them again on Christmas Day.
Karl-Anthony Towns‘ spacing and the starting five’s shooting limit Victor Wembanyama’s ability to roam defensively. As long as nobody gifts De’Aaron Fox a jumper, New York should cover.
Heat vs Celtics (2:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
Heat vs Celtics opening odds
| +154 | Moneyline | -185 |
| +5.5 (-110) | Spread | -5.5 (-110) |
| Over 229.5 (-110) | Total | Under 229.5 (-110) |
Heat vs Celtics early pick: Celtics -5.5
em-110 at DraftKings/em
The Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat matchup is fascinating with Giannis Antetokounmpo now in South Beach.
Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo give the Heat one of the NBA’s most imposing interior defenses, but that strength doesn’t align with Boston’s Mazzulla-ball offense, which is built around bombing away from three rather than attacking the paint.
Give me the Celtics -5.5.
76ers vs Lakers (5 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
76ers vs Lakers opening odds
| -105 | Moneyline | -115 |
| +1.5 (-115) | Spread | +1.5 (-115) |
| Over 235.5 (-115) | Total | Under 235.5 (-105) |
76ers vs Lakers early pick: 76ers +1.5
em-115 at DraftKings/em
I’m shocked to see the Philadelphia 76ers as underdogs. I wasn’t a fan of the Los Angeles Lakers‘ free-agent moves, and by Christmas Day, Philadelphia should have plenty of games under its belt to establish roles and usage.
Jaylen Brown was a nightmare for Luka Doncic at the point of attack in the NBA Finals, and I expect more of the same.
Take the Sixers at +1.5.
Thunder vs Timberwolves (8 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
Thunder vs Timberwolves opening odds
| -162 | Moneyline | +136 |
| -3.5 (-115) | Spread | +3.5 (-105) |
| Over 232.5 (-110) | Total | Under 232.5 (-110) |
Thunder vs Timberwolves early pick: Timberwolves +3.5
em-105 at DraftKings/em
The Oklahoma City Thunder lost Lu Dort this offseason, a physical defender who has given Anthony Edwards problems in the past as his primary defender.
Not only did the Thunder lose perimeter depth, but the Minnesota Timberwolves added a major creator in LaMelo Ball.
That matters here because the Wolves have often forced the ball to Edwards against the Thunder in matchups that aren’t favorable for him. Ball can handle the Thunder’s pressure and create open looks for the Wolves’ secondary scorers.
Nuggets vs Warriors (10:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN)
Nuggets vs Warriors opening odds
| -155 | Moneyline | +130 |
| -3.5 (-110) | Spread | +3.5 (-110) |
| Over 238.5 (-105) | Total | Under 238.5 (-115) |
Nuggets vs Warriors early pick: Nuggets -3.5
em-110 at DraftKings/em
I personally have high hopes for the Denver Nuggets next season. I think they caught a ton of bad breaks last season, as they had a hard time integrating Cam Johnson into the offense, while Aaron Gordon missed a ton of time with an injury.
When healthy, this is one of the best starting fives in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors feel like a deflated team heading into next season after missing out on LeBron.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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