Бостон Сэлтикс багийн удирдлага Пол Жоржийн өндөр өртөгтэй гэрээ болон ирээдүйн драфтын эрхүүдийг авахын тулд од тоглогч Жэйлен Брауныг Филадельфи 76-д шилжүүлсэн нь лигийн хүрээнд ихээхэн гайхшрал төрүүлж байна.
Бостон Сэлтикс багийн ерөнхийлөгч Брэд Стивенс болон эзэмшигч Билл Чисхолм нар энэхүү солилцооны талаар үдээс хойш хэвлэлийн бага хурал хийж тайлбар өгөхөөр төлөвлөжээ. Солилцоо нь 07 дугаар сарын 06-ны 11:00 цагт албан ёсоор баталгаажих хүртэл багийн удирдлагууд олон нийтэд мэдээлэл өгөх боломжгүй байсан юм.
Лигийн шинжээчид болон багийн удирдлагуудын зүгээс Бостон Сэлтикс багийг Янис Адетокунбог авах оролдлого нь бүтэлгүйтсэний дараа яаран сандран ийм шийдвэр гаргасан хэмээн дүгнэж байна. Жэйлен Брауны зан авир, тоглолтын хэв маяг болон 183 сая ам.долларын өртөг бүхий гэрээ нь бусад багуудын сонирхлыг бууруулсан нь солилцооны зах зээлийг идэвхгүй болгосон гэж үзэж байгаа аж.
Аналитик тоо баримтаар бол Жэйлен Браун талбайд байх үед Бостон Сэлтикс багийн үзүүлэлт буурдаг байсан нь түүнийг солих шийдвэрт нөлөөлсөн байж болзошгүй юм. Хэдийгээр Жэйсон Тэйтум гэмтэлтэй байх хугацаанд тэрээр багаа сайн удирдсан ч, лигийн мэргэжилтнүүд түүнийг үнэ цэнийн хувьд хэт өндөр үнэлэгдсэн тоглогч гэж үзэж байна.
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Celtics fans who are waiting for an explanation of the Jaylen Brown trade should get some answers this afternoon when president of basketball operations Brad Stevens and majority owner Bill Chisholm will hold a press conference, according to Marc Stein of The Stein Line (Twitter link). The deal won’t become official until the moratorium ends at 11:00 am Central time, so Stevens and Chisholm have been restricted from making any public comments.
In the meantime, Tim MacMahon of ESPN talked to several executives around the league to get their perspective on the surprising trade, which sent a second-team All-NBA selection to the Sixers in exchange for Paul George‘s pricey contract, along with two future first-round picks and a pair of second-rounders. The consensus is that Boston rushed into a deal after including Brown in an offer for Giannis Antetokounmpo that proved unsuccessful when the Bucks sent him to Miami instead.
“I’m surprised they felt so forced to do it right now — to Philly and for that package!” one general manager told MacMahon. “I’m shocked. I don’t understand it. I can’t figure it out.”
“You can’t make sense of it other than they had to do something. They had to,” a pro personnel scout said. “They couldn’t bring him back. He wore out his welcome there. But it’s a bad move. It looks bad, too. They panicked and made a bad decision.”
Another general manager questioned why the trade market was so depressed for Brown, a five-time All-Star who’s coming off the best statistical season of his career and is still in his prime at age 29. With Jayson Tatum missing most of the season while recovering from an Achilles injury, Brown proved he could handle the primary scoring role, leading the Celtics to 56 wins and the No. 2 seed in the East.
It seems out of character for Stevens, who twice has been named Executive of the Year, to rush into a deal with so little obvious return. However, as the negotiating process wore on, it became apparent that many teams weren’t willing to pay a premium price for Brown. One rival executive believes Stevens began the process by asking for too much after his Antetokounmpo bid failed, and as a result, “teams got scared away and moved on to other business.”
Brown is undeniably expensive, being owed $183MM over the next three years and becoming extension eligible later this summer. MacMahon also cites concerns over his “unapologetically strong personality, outspokenness and reluctance to adapt his style of play,” which all contributed to Boston’s decision to move on and were noticed around the league.
“If Jaylen isn’t happy winning Finals MVP, All-NBA, winning with the Boston Celtics, how’s it going to be with us?” one president of basketball operations said. “If he’s not happy there, what is he looking for? It scares teams.”
On top of that, Brown isn’t a favorite among the analytics community, which sees his actual value as far less than his top-line statistics indicate. One general manager suggests that Brown has “the widest gap in the league” between his public perception and what a deep analytical study actually reveals, and MacMahon points out that the Celtics had a better net rating with Brown off the court during each of the past four seasons and six of the last eight.
“The credit goes to guys who score, but they’re not always driving team success,” another GM said. “There’s guys like this all over the league — Brandon Ingram,DeMar DeRozan, etc. The difference is he’s not at $40 million [salary] — he’s at $60 million! It’s really hard to tie up that much of your salary cap in one player unless they’re truly generational. And he’s not even close to that. If you supermax Shai [Gilgeous-Alexander] or Joker [Nikola Jokic], it makes sense. That’s probably the list. The league is getting smarter now. And here’s the thing: The dumb teams are also the cheap teams, so the Celtics couldn’t take advantage of one of them.”
One of the mysteries surrounding Boston’s offseason is why Stevens wasn’t willing to increase his trade offer to Milwaukee if he knew Brown was going to be moved regardless. Reports have indicated that the Bucks were asking for Baylor ScheiermanandHugo Gonzalez, but Stevens didn’t want to part with the young, low-cost players.
“If you knew you were going to trade him, why not go all in for Giannis?” one of the GMs asked. “It was still a hard decision for Milwaukee. If you knew you had to get rid of him and you were in the final two, why not put in a bit more?”
