Марин Ле Пенийг албан тушаалаа урвуулан ашигласан хэргээр буруутай гэж үзсэн Францын давж заалдах шатны шүүхийн шийдвэр нь тус улсын хэт барууны “Үндэсний нэгдэл” (National Rally) намын ирээдүйг өөрчлөх эргэлтийн цэг болж болзошгүй байна.
Шүүхээс Марин Ле Пенийг төрийн алба хашихыг хориглосон шийдвэрийг зөөлрүүлсэн ч түүнд гурван жилийн хорих ял оноож, үүний нэг жилийг цахим бугуйвчтайгаар эдлүүлэхээр шийдвэрлэжээ. Энэхүү нөхцөл байдал нь түүнийг 2027 оны ерөнхийлөгчийн сонгуульд нэр дэвшихэд саад учруулж болзошгүй тул намын залуу удирдагч Жордан Барделлагийн улс төрийн карьерт шинэ боломж нээгдэж байна. Одоо 30 настай Барделла нь намын тэргүүний хувьд Марин Ле Пенийг орлох гол нэр дэвшигчээр нэрлэгдэж байгаа юм.
1995 онд төрсөн Жордан Барделла 2012 онд 16 настайдаа “Үндэсний фронт” буюу одоогийн “Үндэсний нэгдэл” намд элсэж, улс төрийн карьераа эхлүүлжээ. Тэрээр 25 насандаа намын ерөнхийлөгчөөр сонгогдож, Францын улс төрд хурдацтай дэвшиж байгаа залуу улстөрчдийн нэгд тооцогддог.
Одоогоор 2027 оны ерөнхийлөгчийн сонгуулийн санал асуулгаар Жордан Барделла тэргүүлж байгаа бөгөөд түүнийг сонгуульд ялах магадлал өндөр хэмээн шинжээчид үзэж байна. Санал асуулгын дүнгээр тэрээр эхний шатанд гуравны нэгээс илүү хувийн санал авч байгаа бол түүний гол өрсөлдөгч гэгдэж буй Ерөнхий сайд асан Эдуард Филипп 15-20 хувийн дэмжлэгтэй байна. Гэсэн хэдий ч хоёр дахь шатны санал хураалтын үед нэр дэвшигчдийн санал ихээхэн тэнцүү байх төлөвтэй байна.
Дэлгэрэнгүйг эх сурвалжаас харах
↓Эх сурвалжийг нээх ↓
A French appeal court’s decision to uphold Marine Le Pen’s conviction for embezzlement may propel a young star of the French far-right into next year’s presidential election.
Jordan Bardella, 30, is expected to take the final step in his meteoric rise to the top of French politics as a potential replacement for Le Pen as the National Rally candidate for the 2027 vote.
It is a career-defining moment that may herald a new era for the party and spell the end of Le Pen’s role as the figurehead of the French far-right.
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A three-judge panel on Tuesday reduced her ban for running for public office, meaning she can now stand. But Le Pen was also sentenced to a three-year jail term, with two years suspended and one year wearing an electronic ankle tag – the latter being a condition she has previously said would prevent her running from office.
“Nothing can justify Marine Le Pen being excluded from the French people’s choice …” Bardella said on X on Monday evening, as the pair sought to present a united front before the verdict.
But who is the rising star of the far-right, who is the current bookies’ favourite to become the next French president?
Who is Bardella?
Bardella was born on 13 September 1995 in the relatively underprivileged area of Drancy, Seine-Saint-Denis, northeast of Paris.
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He says his mother, who did most of the work in raising him, had “difficulty making ends meet”.
His father, meanwhile, was a business owner living in the wealthy suburb of Montmorency, who Bardella would spend weekends and Wednesdays with.
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Bardella began studying Geography at Paris-Sorbonne University, before he dropped out to focus on a blossoming political career.
How did he enter politics?
In 2012, aged 16, Bardella joined the National Front (FN) – the former name for the National Rally.
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Just two years later, he became the party’s youngest ever departmental official when he became FN secretary of Seine-Saint-Denis aged 19.
The youngster was increasingly viewed as the party’s future as it rose in the polls to become a major force in French politics.
He joined Le Pen’s campaign team in the 2017 presidential election, in which she finished second, and two years later would be listed as a candidate on the National Rally list for the 2019 European Parliament election.
Bardella is now a household name in France after becoming president of the National Rally aged just 25, following a rapid rise up the party’s ranks during his early 20s.
What are his chances of becoming president?
It remains unclear whether Le Pen will choose to run following the court’s decision. But if she doesn’t, it will be a huge step forward for Bardella.
Of course, there is the small matter of winning the 2027 presidential election still to come.
Most bookies currently have him favourite to win the presidency at 2/1.
He leads the first round opinion polling by a wide margin, regularly polling at just over one third of the votes, with the next
The person polling second – Édouard Charles Philippe, who served as prime minister under Macron from 2017 to 2020 – is polling at around 15 to 20 per cent.
If there was to be a second round runoff between the two, it is much closer, with major polls almost evenly split on who would win the presidency.
