Үндэсний нам, Лейбор намын саналын зөрүү маш бага байгаа тул эвслийн засаг байгуулахад жижиг намуудын байр суурь чухал болж байна.
Сонгуулийн саналын 90 гаруй хувийг тоолоход эрх баригч төв-барууны Үндэсний нам 29.3, гол сөрөг хүчин Лейбор нам 29.1 хувийн санал авчээ. Аравдугаар сарын 26-нд эхэлж, бямба гарагт өндөрлөсөн сонгуулийн дүнгээр хоёр намын хооронд хэдхэн мянган саналын зөрүү гарсан байна.
Үндэсний нам ACT болон NZ First намтай эвсвэл 130 суудалтай парламентад 65 суудал авах боломжтой ч саналын тооллого үргэлжилж байгаа тул энэ тоо өөрчлөгдөж мэднэ. Крис Хипкинсийн тэргүүлсэн Лейбор нам, Ногоон нам болон Те Пати Маоригаас бүрдэх зүүний эвсэл одоогоор 58 суудал авахаар байна.
Энэ нөхцөлд 38 настай, бизнесийн зөвлөх асан Кьюлей Вонгийн тэргүүлдэг Opportunity нам парламентэд анх удаа орж, долоон суудал авч магадгүй бөгөөд хүчний тэнцвэрийг шийдэхэд нөлөөлж мэднэ. Үндэсний намын эвсэл засгийн эрхээ хадгалах эсэх нь тодорхой болоход хугацаа хэрэгтэй гэж ACT намын удирдагч Дэвид Сеймур мэдэгджээ.
Сонгогчдын томоохон намуудад итгэх итгэл буурсан нь эдийн засгийн удаашрал, дэд бүтцийн насжилт болон ажилгүйдэл нэмэгдсэнтэй холбоотой байв; гуравдугаар улиралд ажилгүйдэл бараг зургаан хувьд хүрч, арав гаруй жилийн дээд түвшинд очсон байна. Саналын бараг 95 хувийг бямба гарагийн орой гэхэд тоолох төлөвтэй ч албан ёсны эцсийн дүн арваннэгдүгээр сарын 27-нд гарч, тэр хүртэл гадаадаас өгсөн болон бусад тусгай санал тооцогдохгүй; гадаад дахь сонгогчид түүхэндээ зүүний хүчнийг илүү дэмжиж ирсэн нь ойр өрсөлдөөнтэй тойргуудад нөлөөлж болзошгүй.
Дэлгэрэнгүйг эх сурвалжаас харах
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Early results of New Zealand’s general election show the ruling centre-right National Party and main opposition Labour in a tight deadlock, with no clear route to victory for either.
More than 90 per cent of the votes had been counted in the election which began on 26 October and ended on Saturday, officials said.
At last count, both parties were polling just short of 30 per cent of the popular vote, with only a few thousand votes separating them after an election that was defined by voter disillusionment with the two biggest contenders.
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The National Party is slightly ahead with 29.3 per cent of the vote as against Labour’s 29.1 per cent.
Analysts noted that both parties would prefer a more comfortable margin even for negotiating shared governing arrangements with smaller players.
Greens are currently at 13.3 per cent, ACT at 11 per cent, NZ First at 9.8 per cent, Opportunity at 5.9 per cent, and TPM at 6 per cent.
It appears that Christopher Luxon’s National Party and its minor party coalition partners, libertarian ACT and populist NZ First, may either win with the smallest possible majority or fall just shy as more votes are counted, according to data from the election commission.
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A coalition of National, ACT and NZ First parties could gain 65 seats in the 130-member legislature but this figure too was likely to change as the night progressed.
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On the other hand, the left bloc, led by Chris Hipkins and Labour and including the Green Party and the Indigenous group Te Pāti Māori currently seems on course for 58 seats.
“Tonight New Zealand has spoken. It may take us a little bit longer to figure out what exactly it is that you’ve said,” Mr Hipkins said, addressing supporters on Saturday.
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In the lead-up to the election, it became clear from polls that voters had lost faith in the major parties amid frustrations over a sluggish economy and ageing infrastructure.
Household budgets remained strained and unemployment rose to nearly 6 per cent in the third quarter, the highest it had been in New Zealand in over a decade.
The tight deadlock also means the country’s smaller parties could participate more in a governing coalition.
“I think it’s going to take some time before that becomes clear,” ACT leader David Seymour said when asked if the coalition led by the National Party would return to power.
A relative newcomer, the Opportunity Party, led by 38-year-old former business consultant Qiulae Wong is expected to make its debut in the parliament with seven seats and may hold the balance of power.
Nearly 95 per cent of the ballots are expected to be counted by Saturday night, but no new government will be formed until after official final results are released on 27 November.
Special ballots, including from overseas voters, will not be included in the final count until this date.
Overseas voters have historically favoured the left, meaning their votes will be crucial in races that remain tight between Labour and National candidates.
