Автомашины хөрөнгө оруулалтын шинжээч Гарри Эдворти хөрөнгө оруулалтын зориулалттай автомашин худалдан авахдаа анхаарах гол хүчин зүйлс болон үнийн өсөлтийн талаар зөвлөгөө өглөө.
Хөрөнгө оруулалтын автомашин сонгохдоо тухайн загвар нь үйлдвэрлэлийн түүхэн дэх чухал үе шатыг төлөөлж буй эсэх, дахин үйлдвэрлэгдэх эсэх, мөн зах зээлд үнэлэгдээгүй байгаа эсэхийг харгалзан үзэх нь чухал юм. Жишээлбэл, 2003 онд 400,000 ам.долларын үнэтэй байсан Porsche GT загварууд 2011 онд үнэ нь буурсан ч өдгөө 4 сая ам.доллароос дээш үнээр арилжаалагдаж байна. Эдвортигийн үзэж буйгаар, цахилгаан автомашины хэрэглээ нэмэгдэж, дүрэм журам чангарч байгаа энэ үед хуучин сонгодог загваруудын үнэ цэнэ өсөх хандлагатай байна.
Цахилгаан автомашины тухайд, батерейны ашиглалтын хугацаа болон дэд бүтцийн асуудлаас шалтгаалан тэдгээр нь хөрөнгө оруулалтын хэрэгсэл болоход тохиромжгүй гэж үзэж байна. Тусгайлан үйлдвэрлэсэн ховор цахилгаан автомашинууд ч зах зээлд анхны үнээсээ хоёр дахин хямд арилжаалагдах тохиолдол элбэг байгаа юм. Харин хөрөнгө оруулалтын зориулалттай автомашины элэгдлийг бууруулахын тулд чийгшилгүй орчинд хадгалах, будгийн хамгаалалт (PPF) хийлгэх болон түүхэн баримт бичгийг бүрэн хадгалах нь нэн чухал.
Одоогоор зах зээлд үнэлгээ нь хэт доогуур байгаа загвараар Jaguar XJ220-ийг онцоллоо. 281 ширхэг л үйлдвэрлэгдсэн, тухайн үедээ дэлхийн хамгийн хурдан автомашинд тооцогдож байсан уг загвар нь V6 хөдөлгүүртэй тул хүмүүс ач холбогдол бага өгдөг ч ирээдүйд үнэ цэнэ нь өсөх боломжтой юм. Шинжээчийн зөвлөснөөр, 1960-аад оны сонгодог загваруудаас илүүтэй 1990-ээд болон 2000-аад оны автомашинууд хөрөнгө оруулалтад илүү үр ашигтай байна.
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This car depreciation expert says this $700,000 car is ‘really mispriced’ and could skyrocket in value in the years to come.
Harry Edworthy is an investment car expert and the founder of Autofolio, which advises buyers on their car investments.
Speaking to Supercar Blondie, he gave our readers some advice on how to limit car depreciation and what to look out for when buying an investment car.
He also gave his take on whether EVs are always going to depreciate, and which car he anticipates will jump up in value over the next few years.
What should people be looking out for when it comes to depreciation or prices rising?
When it comes to price growth, there’s three factors to look out for.
One – is this car end of an era?
Two – will that car be made again?
Three – is this car a significant milestone in that carmaker’s history?
For example, like a 458 – the last V8 naturally aspirated Ferrari is the end of an era for Ferrari. They’re not making another one.
It’s also worth thinking about whether the car is underappreciated. Is the car misunderstood by the market? There’s a lot of examples of this in the market.
For example, if you look at Porsche GT valuations, those cars were worth around $400,000 new in 2003. They fell to $300k-$350k in 2011. And now they trade at north of $4 million.
After eight years of life, people weren’t that interested in the car, they were looking at the new stuff. But I think now, with EVs and all the new stuff with regulations, these older classic cars have added value. People are realizing you can’t just buy these cars today.
One of the things you hear often is that EVs will only depreciate. Is this something you’ve found to be true?
I think it’s true. From a UK perspective, there’s no used market for secondhand EVs for a few reasons.
One concern is battery lifespan. How long is the battery going to be going to be usable and is it going to need recommissioning?
Are you going to need a new battery? Which I think frightens people. I think maybe people aren’t quite ready yet to move onto EVs for one, maybe it’s a slight fear, maybe it’s a concern about infrastructure.
Would rare limited EVs work as investment cars? I’d say no. Those car have depreciated massively, some of these Rimac EVs are trading half of their listed price was.
How can people who have investment cars limit depreciation?
Storage is really important. If you haven’t got sort of dehumidified storage, maybe some sort of external storage company can provide that.
Keeping paint in good condition is important. PPF is a nice thing to have.
And make sure you have a complete story with the car, as it leaves less questions if you’re ever to sell it.
Have there been cases of car depreciation that you’ve seen which have served as a cautionary tale?
I had a client who bought a SF90 Spider brand new, and he ended up losing $201,000. He then went on to buy a Lamborghini Aventador SV Roadster, that he paid around $470,000 for – it’s now worth $940,000.
There’s typically large performance cars, like SUVs, which have significant depreciation, but it is very nuanced. It’s hard to have a sort of blanket answer to that question.
But that’s not entirely true if you look at E30s, E39s, or F90 M5 CS. They’re investment cars, and they’ve grown in price. I wouldn’t say there’s a blanket answer, but that’s why I think there’s value in people coming to companies like ours to understand the intricacies.
What’s the worst case of car depreciation you’ve seen?
Older Bentleys, like an Anarge, that would have gone for $268,000 new, and now you can buy one of those for between $13,000 and $20,000.
Early Aston Martins are another good example of this. Early DB9s would go for over $268,000 and now they got in the $26,000 plus region.
What cars do you predict are going to rise in price again?
One car that I think is really mispriced at the minute is a Jaguar XJ220. It trades at a massive discount compared to other cars from that era, like the F50, an McLaren F1, or a Bugatti EB110.
I don’t think it’s going to hit the prices of a F50. But you can get a XJ220 for around $700,000, they only made 281, it was the fastest car in the world at the time of its launch, but it was beaten by the McLaren F1.
People discount it because it has a V6 engine. But it’s a Jaguar hypercar that’s never going to be created again. It ticks all of those boxes – it’s underappreciated, it’s end of an era, and there’s a growing market.
What advice would you give to someone interested in investment cars?
I would look at older cars, but I think the sweet spot is the last 30 years or so. As far as cars in the 1960s are concerned, I think prices will likely fall or stay flat.
If you look at pre-war cars, they used to be good investment cars. But now people are not interested because they’re very difficult to look after.
Demographics are changing, so the real price growth we’re seeing is with more modern cars. Stuff from the 1990s and 2000s. The stuff that is falling in price is the 1960s classics.
You can find out more about Autofolio, their investment guides, and the services they offer on their website.
